Six Week 10 games have heavy favorite point spreads of nine points or more. However, after a Week 9 that included the Jacksonville Jaguars’ surprising win vs Buffalo Bills, there is no such thing as a sure thing in the NFL, according to TheLines.com, which tracks odds in the US-regulated sports betting market.
A consensus of the nation’s largest legal online sportsbooks — including FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, PointsBet, PlaySugarHouse, and Unibet — also has six games in Week 10 with relatively tight spreads of 3.5 points or less. Only two games feature spreads between 3.5 and 9 points.
The Jaguars were 16-point underdogs on Sunday before beating the Bills, showing how difficult the NFL can be to gauge from week to week. That is especially true midseason when injuries and other forms of attrition can have a dramatic effect on a team.
The Green Bay Packers stand as 5.5-point home favorites over the Seattle Seahawks, despite their struggles on Sunday. With Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson possibly returning for the game, the line could move significantly in either direction.
Brett Collson, lead analyst for TheLines.com, commented: “The NFL is a league built on parity, and an injury here or a return there always has the potential to affect a game’s result. The Jaguars are proof that no bettor should take any outcome for granted.”
The consensus point spreads for Week 10 games, as of November 8:
- Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Miami Dolphins; over/under 47.5
- Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-9); over/under 52
- New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-2.5); over/under 44.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5); over/under 47.5
- Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (-2.5); over/under 45.5
- Buffalo Bills (-13) at New York Jets; over/under 48
- Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers (-9); over/under 44
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5) at Washington Football Team; over/under 51.5
- Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (-10); over/under 45.5
- Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5); over/under 52
- Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos (-2.5); over/under 45
- Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers (-5.5); over/under 49.5
- Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders; over/under 52.5
- Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers; over/under 49.5
